A combinatorial proof for the secretary problem with multiple choices

03/04/2023
by   Xujun Liu, et al.
0

The Secretary problem is a classical sequential decision-making question that can be succinctly described as follows: a set of rank-ordered applicants are interviewed sequentially for a single position. Once an applicant is interviewed, an immediate and irrevocable decision is made if the person is to be offered the job or not and only applicants observed so far can be used in the decision process. The problem of interest is to identify the stopping rule that maximizes the probability of hiring the highest-ranked applicant. A multiple-choice version of the Secretary problem, known as the Dowry problem, assumes that one is given a fixed integer budget for the total number of selections allowed to choose the best applicant. It has been solved using tools from dynamic programming and optimal stopping theory. We provide the first combinatorial proof for a related new query-based model for which we are allowed to solicit the response of an expert to determine if an applicant is optimal. Since the selection criteria differ from those of the Dowry problem we obtain nonidentical expected stopping times. Our result indicates that an optimal strategy is the (a_s, a_s-1, …, a_1)-strategy, i.e., for the i^th selection, where 1 ≤ i ≤ s and 1 ≤ j = s+1-i ≤ s, we reject the first a_j applicants, wait until the decision of the (i-1)^th selection (if i ≥ 2), and then accept the next applicant whose qualification is better than all previously appeared applicants. Furthermore, our optimal strategy is right-hand based, i.e., the optimal strategies for two models with s_1 and s_2 selections in total (s_1 < s_2) share the same sequence a_1, a_2, …, a_s_1 when it is viewed from the right. When the total number of applicants tends to infinity, our result agrees with the thresholds obtained by Gilbert and Mosteller.

READ FULL TEXT

page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4

research
07/15/2021

Optimal Stopping Methodology for the Secretary Problem with Random Queries

Candidates arrive sequentially for an interview process which results in...
research
01/18/2021

Query-Based Selection of Optimal Candidates under the Mallows Model

We introduce the problem of query-based selection of the optimal candida...
research
02/12/2020

Optimal Multiple Stopping Rule for Warm-Starting Sequential Selection

In this paper we present the Warm-starting Dynamic Thresholding algorith...
research
02/26/2019

Weighted games of best choice

The game of best choice (also known as the secretary problem) is a model...
research
06/06/2022

Optimal Stopping Theory for a Distributionally Robust Seller

Sellers in online markets face the challenge of determining the right ti...
research
01/30/2013

Implementing Resolute Choice Under Uncertainty

The adaptation to situations of sequential choice under uncertainty of d...
research
06/10/2020

A multiple inflated negative binomial hurdle regression model: analysis of the Italians' tourism behaviour during the Great Recession

We analyse tourism behaviour of Italian residents in the period covering...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset