Automatic structure estimation of predictive models for symptom development

09/12/2018
by   Dennis Becker, et al.
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Online mental health treatment has the premise to meet the increasing demand for mental health treatment at a lower cost than traditional treatment. However, online treatment suffers from high drop-out rates, which might negate their cost effectiveness. Predictive models might aid in early identification of deviating clients which allows to target them directly to prevent drop-out and improve treatment outcomes. We propose a two-staged multi-objective optimization process to automatically infer model structures based on ecological momentary assessment for prediction of future symptom development. The proposed multi-objective optimization approach results in a temporal-causal network model with the best prediction performance for each concept. This allows for a selection of a disorder-specific model structure based on the envisioned field of application.

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