Bridging Bayesian, frequentist and fiducial (BFF) inferences using confidence distribution

12/08/2020
by   Suzanne Thornton, et al.
0

Bayesian, frequentist and fiducial (BFF) inferences are much more congruous than they have been perceived historically in the scientific community (cf., Reid and Cox 2015; Kass 2011; Efron 1998). Most practitioners are probably more familiar with the two dominant statistical inferential paradigms, Bayesian inference and frequentist inference. The third, lesser known fiducial inference paradigm was pioneered by R.A. Fisher in an attempt to define an inversion procedure for inference as an alternative to Bayes' theorem. Although each paradigm has its own strengths and limitations subject to their different philosophical underpinnings, this article intends to bridge these different inferential methodologies through the lenses of confidence distribution theory and Monte-Carlo simulation procedures. This article attempts to understand how these three distinct paradigms, Bayesian, frequentist, and fiducial inference, can be unified and compared on a foundational level, thereby increasing the range of possible techniques available to both statistical theorists and practitioners across all fields.

READ FULL TEXT

page 1

page 2

page 3

page 4

research
01/12/2023

Elucidating Inferential Models with the Cauchy Distribution

Statistical inference as a formal scientific method to covert experience...
research
07/17/2018

An exposition of the false confidence theorem

A recent paper presents the "false confidence theorem" (FCT) which has p...
research
03/27/2013

Robust Inference Policies

A series of monte carlo studies were performed to assess the extent to w...
research
06/03/2022

Approximate confidence distribution computing

Approximate confidence distribution computing (ACDC) offers a new take o...
research
03/22/2018

Calibrating Model-Based Inferences and Decisions

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly com...
research
03/15/2012

Bayesian Inference in Monte-Carlo Tree Search

Monte-Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) methods are drawing great interest after ...
research
02/19/2020

Integrated organic inference (IOI): A reconciliation of statistical paradigms

It is recognised that the Bayesian approach to inference can not adequat...

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset